Emmanuel Grégoire Poised to Win Paris Mayoral Election, Poll Suggests

A recent poll indicates that Emmanuel Grégoire, the center-left candidate, is likely to emerge victorious in the Paris mayoral election, set to take place on Sunday. According to the survey, conducted by Cluster 17, Grégoire is projected to secure 48 percent of the vote, putting him seven points ahead of his closest competitor, conservative challenger Rachida Dati. Sophia Chikirou, representing the hard-left France Unbowed party, is expected to come in third with 11 percent of the vote.

Grégoire’s lead is not entirely surprising, given his strong performance in the first round of the election, where he finished 12 points ahead of Dati. However, Dati has managed to narrow the gap by forming an alliance with center-right candidate Pierre-Yves Bournazel, who had a disappointing showing in the first round. This move has made the race more competitive, despite Grégoire’s initial dominance.

The decision of far-right MEP Sarah Knafo to withdraw from the race has also given Dati a boost, potentially drawing some of Knafo’s supporters to her side. In contrast, Grégoire has chosen not to form an alliance with Chikirou, citing principle as the reason. This decision is likely due to the abrasive and confrontational approach that France Unbowed has taken in the local election.

The France Unbowed party, led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, has been at the center of controversy in recent times. Mélenchon’s response to the killing of a far-right activist, as well as his subsequent comments that were widely condemned as antisemitic, have sparked significant debate. Grégoire’s decision to distance himself from Chikirou and her party may be seen as an attempt to avoid being associated with these controversies.

As the election approaches, it remains to be seen whether Grégoire’s lead will hold. While the poll suggests that he is in a strong position, the unpredictable nature of politics means that anything can happen. The outcome of the election will have significant implications for the city of Paris and its inhabitants, and all eyes will be on the results on Sunday.

The poll, shared exclusively with POLITICO, provides a snapshot of the current state of the election. With Grégoire poised to extend the Socialist Party’s quarter-century rule of Paris, the city’s residents are bracing themselves for what could be a significant shift in local politics. As the candidates enter the final stretch of the campaign, they will be working tirelessly to win over undecided voters and secure their place in the city’s history.

The outcome of the election is expected to have far-reaching consequences for the city, and the world will be watching as the results unfold. With the poll suggesting a clear leader, it remains to be seen whether Grégoire will emerge victorious and become the next mayor of Paris.

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