Russian Army Sees Minimal Gains in Ukraine for First Time Since 2023, Analysis Reveals
In a significant development in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, the Russian army has recorded almost no territorial gains on the frontline in March, marking the first time since 2023 that such minimal progress has been made. According to an analysis of data from the Institute for the Study of War conducted by Agence France-Presse, the Russian army seized only 23 square kilometers of territory in March, losing ground in some areas. This slowdown in Russian advances is attributed to Ukrainian counteroffensives, as well as restrictions imposed by the Kremlin on the use of certain technologies.
The Russian army’s advances have been slowing down since late 2025, with the Ukrainian military making localized breakthroughs in the southeast of the country. In January, the Russian army made gains of 319 square kilometers, which decreased to 123 square kilometers in February. The March figure of 23 square kilometers is the smallest advance since September 2023, excluding infiltration operations and unconfirmed claims. The Institute for the Study of War attributes the slowdown to Ukrainian counteroffensives, as well as the Russian ban on using Starlink terminals in Ukraine and restrictions on access to the messaging app Telegram.
The slowdown in Russian advances comes as Ukraine has faced increased daytime attacks from Russian forces. On Friday, Russian strikes killed 14 people in Ukraine, with the military using over 500 drones and dozens of missiles in a massive salvo. This marks a shift in tactics, as Russian forces have largely launched aerial attacks at night. The increased daytime attacks have raised concerns about the escalating conflict and the impact on civilians.
In addition to the military developments, the conflict has also had significant economic implications. Russian oil export hubs at Ust-Luga and Primorsk remain unable to handle shipments due to Ukrainian drone attacks, prompting refineries to seek alternative routes for export. The attacks have damaged port infrastructure, and the export restrictions, combined with disruptions at large refineries, could lead to a decrease in oil production in Russia. Traders have reported that refineries have been unable to deliver diesel fuel to Primorsk for export since March 22, leaving them to consider more expensive rail transport routes.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has called on lawmakers to pass key legislation next week to avert a funding crisis and support the country’s war efforts. With Ukraine requiring external financing of $52 billion this year, the budget situation is dire. Zelenskyy has emphasized the importance of passing key draft laws, including those related to strengthening the court system and reforming energy sector procedures. The passage of these laws is seen as crucial for unlocking funding and supporting Ukraine’s bid for EU accession.
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has had far-reaching consequences, with both military and economic implications. As the situation continues to evolve, it remains to be seen how the conflict will unfold and what the ultimate outcome will be. One thing is certain, however: the need for a resolution to the conflict is urgent, and the international community must continue to support efforts to bring about a peaceful and lasting solution.
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